Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.064903 0.071749 0.079236 0.088069 0.098257 0.109699 0.123604
2024-10-20 0.054260 0.063497 0.074409 0.088406 0.106120 0.128113 0.158010
2024-10-27 0.046609 0.056926 0.069850 0.087566 0.111767 0.144526 0.193813
2024-11-03 0.041825 0.052903 0.067477 0.088620 0.119523 0.164812 0.239943
2024-11-10 0.038170 0.049699 0.065503 0.089577 0.126934 0.185812 0.293074
2024-11-17 0.034893 0.046522 0.063013 0.089186 0.131958 0.203894 0.346867
2024-11-24 0.032580 0.044389 0.061666 0.090170 0.139129 0.226932 0.417844
2024-12-01 0.030646 0.042568 0.060509 0.091174 0.146356 0.251635 0.502115
2024-12-08 0.028932 0.040886 0.059335 0.091905 0.153116 0.277014 0.599489
2024-12-15 0.027272 0.039120 0.057814 0.091775 0.158150 0.300062 0.702790
2024-12-22 0.025615 0.037212 0.055858 0.090579 0.160811 0.318541 0.803771
2024-12-29 0.024669 0.036358 0.055560 0.092356 0.169858 0.354552 0.983347
2025-01-05 0.023206 0.034569 0.053540 0.090688 0.171401 0.372928 1.118469
2025-01-12 0.022274 0.033597 0.052860 0.091560 0.178843 0.409631 1.359460
2025-01-19 0.021202 0.032309 0.051502 0.090896 0.182605 0.437485 1.593277
2025-01-26 0.020482 0.031573 0.051077 0.092095 0.191147 0.483148 1.976744
2025-02-02 0.019800 0.030852 0.050611 0.093141 0.199549 0.532143 2.462556
2025-02-09 0.018995 0.029858 0.049546 0.092745 0.204092 0.570108 2.952874
2025-02-16 0.018420 0.029240 0.049147 0.093789 0.212840 0.628011 3.744771
2025-02-23 0.017887 0.028662 0.048778 0.094849 0.221921 0.692412 4.813522
2025-03-02 0.017360 0.028060 0.048310 0.095621 0.230372 0.759453 6.208668
2025-03-09 0.016776 0.027319 0.047506 0.095485 0.236039 0.817744 7.819088
2025-03-16 0.016124 0.026413 0.046300 0.094224 0.237882 0.859129 9.447271